Tight Three-Way Race Heading into 2019 PEI Election

MQO Research spoke with 400 residents of Prince Edward Island to gauge the political temperature in the province for the January edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Provincial Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, it remains a tight race on PEI. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • Support for the Green Party trended up 2 percentage points to 34%.
  • Current Liberal support trended up 2 percentage points to 33%.
  • Support for the PC Party trended down by 2 percentage points to 28%.
  • NDP support dropped 5 percentage points to 2%.

The undecided / no vote group edged up 4 percentage points to 39%.

“This race remains too close to call,” said Stephen Moore, Vice-President of MQO Research. “If this trend continues, we are likely heading toward a minority government on PEI.”

Government Performance

The rating for the leadership of Premier Wade MacLauchlan was relatively unchanged this quarter with a mean rating of 5.2 (on a 10-point scale).

Provincial Outlook

Islander’s view on the provincial outlook for the province was relatively unchanged this quarter. 25 percent of Islanders reported the provincial outlook over the past three months had improved, while 52% felt things had stayed about the same and 21% said the outlook had gotten worse.

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from January 21st to January 27th, 2019 and included 400 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.9 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry in Canada.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Stephen Moore – Vice-President
[email protected]

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