Canada Federal Election Poll (Apr17-Apr19 2025)

Click here for full NATIONAL tabular results (including insights about debate performances and issues relating to Quebec and Canada’s north).

Current Wave Snapshot: (click here for tracking and other polling waves)

Debate Insights:

Commentary:

Which leader performed best at the debates? Depends who you ask — sort of.

OVERALL: Poilievre (35%) | Carney (32%) | Singh (8%) | Blanchet (6%)

🔵CPC voters stuck behind Poilievre (78% choosing him).

🔴LPC voters were somewhat less committed to Carney (66%) with 19% saying the leaders did equally well or they were unsure.

🟠NDP voters had one eye on Singh (54%) and the other on Carney (24%).

⚜️BQ voters were equally likely to choose Poilievre (27%) as they were to choose Blanchet (28%), with a quarter unable to choose a top debater.

– Brenden Sommerhalder

Read on Substack

Methodology

Responses were collected via online panel between April 17 and April 19, 2025. Respondents were 2,383 eligible national voters. This poll was considered a non-probabilistic sample due to the contribution from online panel, therefore a margin of error cannot be calculated. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 2,383 respondents would have a margin of error of 2%, 19 times out of 20. Data were weighted to 2021 Canadian census proportions by age, gender, and region.

This research was conducted by MQO Research, commissioned by Global Public Affairs. MQO Research is an accredited agency member of the Canadian Research Insights Council. The firm was the most accurate polling agency in the 2024 Nova Scotia provincial election, projecting the result within two percentage points for all parties.

READ: On Election Polling: Importance, Challenges, and MQO’s Perspective

About MQO Research

Founded in 1987 as MarketQuest Research, the present-day MQO Research was formed following the acquisition of Omnifacts Research in 2010. A leading market research, polling, and evaluation firm based in Atlantic Canada and serving clients across North America, MQO is an Accredited Agency Member of the Canadian Research Insights Council and the only full-service market research firm in Atlantic Canada with an in-house and fully bilingual telephone call centre. MQO’s history of research excellence and end-to-end services enables the firm to uphold the highest industry standards for quality control and consistency in delivering research services.

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