Tight Three-Way Race Forming on PEI

MQO Research spoke with 400 residents of Prince Edward Island to gauge the political temperature in the province for the October edition of our quarterly political poll: Atlantic Matters.

Provincial Politics

According to the latest polling numbers, it remains a tight race on PEI. Among decided and leaning voters:

  • Current Liberal support trended down 3 percentage points to 31%.
  • Support for the PC Party remained relatively unchanged at 30%.
  • NDP support trended up 3 percentage points to 7%.
  • Support for the Green Party was relatively unchanged at 32%.

The undecided / no vote group remained steady at 35%.

“Right now, we have a three-way tie on Prince Edward Island,” said Stephen Moore, Vice-President at MQO. “Over the last year, the support for the Liberals declined while the Greens saw a double digital increase.”

“On PEI, momentum is currently on the side of the opposition parties.”

Government Performance

The rating for the leadership of Premier Wade MacLauchlan was unchanged this quarter with a mean rating of 5.1 (on a 10-point scale).

Provincial Outlook

Islander’s view on the economic outlook for the province was relatively unchanged this quarter. 25 percent of Islanders reported the economic outlook over the past three months had improved, while 52% felt things had stayed about the same and 19% said the economic outlook had gotten worse.

The Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from October 22nd to November 4th, 2018 and included 400 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the total sample is ± 4.9 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

About MQO Research

MQO Research is one of Atlantic Canada’s leading market research firms, providing research insights to clients throughout the region and beyond. Our team includes experts in quantitative and qualitative methodologies and program evaluation. MQO subscribes to the highest standards of information gathering and research ethics in the industry in Canada.

For more information on Atlantic Matters or MQO Research, contact:

Stephen Moore – Vice President
[email protected]
Phone: 902-465-3034
Cell: 902-210-5379

Click here to see the full report